Luis Vázquez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Luis Vázquez's performance-implied value at EUR 2.6M-6.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-4.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.85x the positional average in the league (1898 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1898 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.43
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1500
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €4.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; changed club; league level up (+76 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -39% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Getafe CF | Laliga | ST | 17 | 1205 | 35% | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 1500 | 1446 | 0.95 |
| 2025/26 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 14 | 693 | 26% | 2 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 1394 | 1393 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 28 | 913 | 34% | 4 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 1370 | 1476 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 28 | 671 | 25% | 7 | 1 | 1.07 | 0.63 | 1354 | 1516 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 2 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1291 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 2 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1338 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | RSC Anderlecht | 10 | 632 | 4 | 1 | 1541 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 2 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1390 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Doumbia Ligue 1 · 2019 | 25 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Ferhat Kiraz Super Lig · 2014 | 25 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Sergey Tkachev Premier Liga · 2016 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.8M | flat |
| Stiven Mendoza Ligue 1 · 2019 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Emiliano Sala Ligue 1 · 2016 | 26 | €2.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Mervan Çelik Super Lig · 2015 | 25 | €2.3M | €550k | fell |
| Emanuel Herrera Ligue 1 · 2013 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.4M | fell |
| Yacine Bammou Ligue 1 · 2017 | 26 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Getafe | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 21 Jan 2026 | RSC Anderlecht | Getafe | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 26 Jul 2023 | Boca Juniors | RSC Anderlecht | €4.5M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Boca Juniors II | Boca Juniors | Unknown | €100k |
| 22 Jul 2020 | Patronato II | Boca Juniors II | €330k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Patronato U20 | Patronato II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.