Étienne Camara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Étienne Camara's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-5.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-7.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.38x the positional average in the league (2353 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 35.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €4.5M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2353 (87% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1307
- Opponent strength
- 1383
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €7.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 47 pts; relative output up 43% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -47% to +97%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 29 | 2353 | 87% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1383 | 1307 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 20 | 1079 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1386 | 1315 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 6 | 339 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1398 | 1268 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 9 | 682 | 1 | 0 | 1375 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 2 | 191 | 0 | 0 | 1342 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 89 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Costa Liga Portugal · 2021 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Michel Vlap Eredivisie · 2019 | 22 | €8.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Stephen Eustaquio Liga Portugal · 2021 | 25 | €4.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Daniil Utkin Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €3.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Ogenyi Onazi Super Lig · 2017 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Morten Thorsby Eredivisie · 2018 | 22 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Mateusz Klich Eredivisie · 2014 | 24 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Jean Michaël Seri Liga Portugal · 2015 | 24 | €2.0M | €14.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | Udinese | R Charleroi SC | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 14 Jul 2023 | Huddersfield | Udinese | €2.0M | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Huddersf. U21 | Huddersfield | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Huddersf. U19 | Huddersf. U23 | Unknown | €50k |
| 22 Oct 2020 | Angers SCO U19 | Huddersf. U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | US Torcy U17 | Angers SCO U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | US Torcy Yth. | US Torcy U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.