Veysel Sarı
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Veysel Sarı's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 35.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €86k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1926 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1139
- Opponent strength
- 1267
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €49k – €101k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts; relative output up 54% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -50% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 22 | 1926 | 63% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1267 | 1139 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 32 | 2846 | 88% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1292 | 1181 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 35 | 3013 | 88% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1303 | 1244 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 31 | 2456 | 76% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1299 | 1274 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 35 | 2954 | 86% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1273 | 1334 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 30 | 2397 | 67% | 4 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 1287 | 1188 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 15 | 1350 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1355 | 1282 | 0.45 |
| 2019/20 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | CB | 13 | 973 | 32% | 2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 1354 | 1273 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | CB | 28 | 2372 | 78% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1386 | 1259 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | CB | 29 | 2401 | 78% | 3 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 1388 | 1369 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | CB | 28 | 2187 | 71% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1385 | 1338 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | RB | 20 | 1569 | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1411 | 1365 | 0.64 |
| 2014/15 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | RB | 15 | 1230 | 40% | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1411 | 1351 | 0.72 |
| 2014/15 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RB | 5 | 366 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 1453 | 1580 | 0.72 |
| 2013/14 | Eskisehirspor | Super Lig | RB | 15 | 1341 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1477 | 1381 | 0.78 |
| 2013/14 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RB | 9 | 524 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 1441 | 1580 | 0.78 |
| 2012/13 | Eskisehirspor | Super Lig | CB | 31 | 2329 | 76% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1403 | 1462 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Galatasaray | 2 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 1571 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Eskisehirspor | 4 | 351 | 1 | 1 | 1421 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Halsti Superliga · 2020 | 36 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Lasse Fosgaard Superliga · 2021 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Alexios Michail Super League 1 · 2021 | 35 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Andy Considine Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 37 | €50k | €50k | flat |
| Anastasios Venetis Super League 1 · 2017 | 37 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Karim Belhocine Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 36 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Giannis Ioannou Super League 1 · 2018 | 34 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Maksym Kovalyov Premier Liga · 2023 | 34 | €200k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2020 | Kasimpasa | Antalyaspor | Free / loan | €400k |
| 19 Jan 2015 | Galatasaray | Kasimpasa | €400k | €5.0M |
| 3 Feb 2014 | Eskisehirspor | Galatasaray | €700k | €5.8M |
| 3 Jul 2009 | Beylerbeyi | Eskisehirspor | Free / loan | €50k |
| 4 Jul 2008 | Dikilitas Yth | Beylerbeyi | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.