Thomas Delaney
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Thomas Delaney's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (741 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 41.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €175k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 741 (37% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1359
- Opponent strength
- 1241
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €236k – €491k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; league level up (+45 Elo); relative output down 26% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -68% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 741 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CM | 14 | 741 | 37% | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 1241 | 1359 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CM | 16 | 1206 | 61% | 3 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.20 | 1306 | 1399 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 14 | 915 | 34% | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 1379 | 1516 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CM | 8 | 306 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1550 | 1583 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CM | 6 | 299 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1458 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CM | 26 | 1544 | 45% | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1537 | 1636 | 1.05 |
| 2021/22 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | DM | 1 | 17 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1602 | 1643 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | DM | 20 | 1289 | 42% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 1571 | 1703 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | DM | 11 | 834 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1538 | 1700 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | CM | 30 | 2288 | 75% | 3 | 6 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 1487 | 1683 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | CM | 32 | 2796 | 91% | 3 | 5 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 1515 | 1510 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CM | 19 | 1556 | 66% | 6 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.25 | 1319 | 1595 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | DM | 13 | 919 | 30% | 4 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 1604 | 1516 | 1.06 |
| 2015/16 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CM | 29 | 2576 | 87% | 5 | 5 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 1299 | 1500 | 0.53 |
| 2014/15 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CM | 27 | 2175 | 73% | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1364 | 1421 | 0.48 |
| 2013/14 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CM | 32 | 2523 | 85% | 3 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1332 | 1471 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CM | 21 | 1356 | 46% | 1 | 3 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 1339 | 1477 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 176 | 0 | 0 | 1597 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1378 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 119 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 179 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 1360 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 4 | 229 | 0 | 0 | 1712 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 4 | 200 | 0 | 0 | 1579 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 3 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 82 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 429 | 0 | 1 | 1597 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 389 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2020/21 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1919 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 245 | 0 | 0 | 1658 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 297 | 0 | 0 | 1714 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 177 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 382 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 540 | 1 | 1 | 1553 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 450 | 1 | 2 | 1382 |
| 2015/16 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 404 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1366 |
| 2014/15 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 494 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1587 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 304 | 0 | 0 | 1438 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 526 | 0 | 0 | 1720 |
| 2013/14 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 264 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 458 | 0 | 0 | 1436 |
| 2012/13 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1541 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Matilla Super League 1 · 2022 | 34 | €350k | €175k | fell |
| Hakan Arslan Super Lig · 2023 | 35 | €375k | €100k | fell |
| Sergiy Nazarenko Premier Liga · 2015 | 35 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Pitu García Super League 1 · 2016 | 32 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Chris Millar Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 34 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Kasper Risgaard Superliga · 2018 | 35 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Edmar Galovskyi Premier Liga · 2015 | 35 | €800k | €200k | fell |
| Gary McDonald Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 33 | €350k | €350k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | Sevilla FC | Copenhagen | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | RSC Anderlecht | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 22 Aug 2023 | Sevilla FC | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Hoffenheim | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jan 2023 | Sevilla FC | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 25 Aug 2021 | Dortmund | Sevilla FC | €6.0M | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Werder Bremen | Dortmund | €20.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Copenhagen | Werder Bremen | €2.0M | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Copenhagen U19 | Copenhagen | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2007 | FCK Youth | Copenhagen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.