Juan Cuadrado
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Juan Cuadrado's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.58x the positional average in the league (491 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 55.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 38.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €518k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 491 (14% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 55 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1547
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €352k – €814k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-419 Elo); relative output up 110% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -53% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 491 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Pisa Sporting Club | Serie A | RM | 19 | 491 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.35 | 1547 | 1260 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 23 | 824 | 24% | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 1445 | 1679 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Inter Milan | Serie A | RM | 10 | 258 | 8% | 0 | 2 | 0.70 | 0.18 | 1430 | 1802 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RM | 31 | 2084 | 61% | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1460 | 1614 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RM | 33 | 2494 | 73% | 4 | 5 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 1450 | 1623 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RB | 30 | 2180 | 64% | 2 | 11 | 0.54 | 0.25 | 1443 | 1698 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RB | 33 | 2651 | 78% | 2 | 6 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 1412 | 1643 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RM | 18 | 1225 | 36% | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1427 | 1701 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RW | 21 | 1359 | 40% | 4 | 7 | 0.73 | 0.32 | 1467 | 1820 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RM | 30 | 2098 | 61% | 2 | 6 | 0.34 | 0.16 | 1451 | 1832 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RM | 28 | 1707 | 50% | 4 | 4 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 1448 | 1808 | 0.95 |
| 2015/16 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | RW | 1 | 26 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1727 | 1625 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | SS | 17 | 1449 | 42% | 4 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 1471 | 1600 | 0.93 |
| 2014/15 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | RW | 12 | 312 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 1485 | 1754 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RM | 32 | 2702 | 79% | 11 | 8 | 0.63 | 0.51 | 1473 | 1570 | 0.88 |
| 2012/13 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RM | 36 | 2965 | 87% | 5 | 7 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 1399 | 1580 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Pisa Sporting Club | 2 | 80 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 8 | 317 | 0 | 1 | 1560 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 2 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 1667 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Juventus FC | 8 | 592 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 6 | 437 | 0 | 1 | 1646 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 2 | 178 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 7 | 473 | 0 | 0 | 1688 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 5 | 340 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 6 | 551 | 0 | 6 | 1612 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 3 | 262 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Supercoppa Italiana | Juventus FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1608 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 6 | 500 | 1 | 1 | 1610 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 5 | 255 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Supercoppa Italiana | Juventus FC | 1 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1539 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 5 | 329 | 0 | 1 | 1612 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 6 | 410 | 1 | 1 | 1608 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Supercoppa Italiana | Juventus FC | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1537 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 12 | 586 | 1 | 1 | 1658 |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 3 | 225 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 8 | 468 | 1 | 0 | 1756 |
| 2015/16 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 4 | 265 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 256 | 1 | 0 | 1417 |
| 2014/15 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 1 | 76 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1671 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | ACF Fiorentina | 6 | 397 | 2 | 3 | 1551 |
| 2013/14 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 3 | 201 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 135 | 1 | 0 | 1371 |
| 2012/13 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 4 | 275 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Hallfredsson Serie A · 2019 | 35 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Oliver Fink Bundesliga · 2020 | 38 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Frédéric Sammaritano Ligue 1 · 2020 | 34 | €325k | €200k | fell |
| Paolo Sammarco Serie A · 2019 | 36 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Nicolas Viola Serie A · 2024 | 35 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Mirko Valdifiori Serie A · 2019 | 33 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Luca Cigarini Serie A · 2021 | 35 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Renaud Cohade Ligue 1 · 2020 | 36 | €400k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Pisa | Without Club | Unknown | €800k |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Atalanta | Pisa | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Inter | Atalanta | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 19 Jul 2023 | Juventus | Inter | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Chelsea | Juventus | €20.0M | €25.0M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Juventus | Chelsea | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 31 Aug 2016 | Chelsea | Juventus | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Juventus | Chelsea | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 25 Aug 2015 | Chelsea | Juventus | Free / loan | €30.0M |
| 2 Feb 2015 | Fiorentina | Chelsea | €31.0M | €32.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Udinese | Fiorentina | €20.0M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2013 | Fiorentina | Udinese | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 23 Jul 2012 | Udinese | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2012 | Lecce | Udinese | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 3 Aug 2011 | Udinese | Lecce | Free / loan | €800k |
| 2 Jul 2009 | Indep. Medellín | Udinese | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2008 | Medellín U20 | Indep. Medellín | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.