Nicolai Larsen

The model rates Nicolai Larsen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1890 (96% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.00

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

20 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.47 (rank 12)

Team strength (Elo)

1213

Opponent strength

1277

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€95k – €133k

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -51% to -19%).

• ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

67 (all positions)

Relative output kept

71%–125%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

67%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.