Nick Viergever
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nick Viergever's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 62th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 36.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €104k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1750 (57% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1352
- Opponent strength
- 1294
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €120k – €299k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 39 pts; relative output down 79% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -72% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1750 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | CB | 25 | 1750 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1294 | 1352 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2951 | 96% | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1294 | 1409 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | CB | 25 | 2049 | 67% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1329 | 1354 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | CB | 19 | 1628 | 53% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1346 | 1392 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Bundesliga | CB | 24 | 2134 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1544 | 1250 | 1.05 |
| 2021/22 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 1 | 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1303 | 1641 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 17 | 1092 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1372 | 1567 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 23 | 2048 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1363 | 1553 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 34 | 3015 | 99% | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 1335 | 1634 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 12 | 1080 | 35% | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.08 | 1295 | 1627 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 29 | 2455 | 80% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 1332 | 1627 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 17 | 1430 | 47% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 1314 | 1619 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 26 | 1927 | 63% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1333 | 1543 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | LB | 33 | 2892 | 95% | 3 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 1351 | 1373 | 0.59 |
| 2012/13 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 31 | 2767 | 90% | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 1371 | 1315 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | FC Utrecht | 7 | 549 | 0 | 0 | 1497 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Utrecht | 6 | 522 | 2 | 0 | 1342 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 4 | 315 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 2 | 142 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1406 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1494 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1528 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1586 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 516 | 0 | 0 | 1724 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 1429 |
| 2018/19 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1567 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1412 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 177 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 10 | 924 | 2 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | 1442 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1598 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 5 | 395 | 0 | 0 | 1597 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 390 | 1 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 238 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1282 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 980 | 2 | 1 | 1508 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandru Epureanu Super Lig · 2021 | 35 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Johnny Thomsen Superliga · 2018 | 36 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Christophe Berra Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 34 | €900k | €250k | fell |
| Adil Auassar Eredivisie · 2023 | 37 | €125k | €125k | flat |
| Javi Martos Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 35 | €200k | €50k | fell |
| Willem Janssen Eredivisie · 2021 | 35 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Nikolaos Lazaridis Super League 1 · 2017 | 38 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Andrey Semenov Premier Liga · 2023 | 34 | €700k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Utrecht | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Greuther Fürth | Utrecht | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | PSV | Greuther Fürth | €300k | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Ajax | PSV | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | €2.0M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Sparta R. | AZ Alkmaar | €1.3M | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Sparta U21 | Sparta R. | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Sparta U19 | Sparta U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.