Henrik Dalsgaard
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Henrik Dalsgaard's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 41.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 36.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €107k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1604 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1441
- Opponent strength
- 1263
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €81k – €101k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; team strength up (+112 Elo); league level up (+45 Elo); relative output down 59% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -53% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1604 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | CB | 22 | 1604 | 81% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1263 | 1441 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | CB | 17 | 1297 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 1308 | 1329 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | RB | 16 | 981 | 50% | 2 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.26 | 1276 | 1449 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | CB | 16 | 1320 | 67% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 1275 | 1368 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | CB | 18 | 1614 | 82% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 1286 | 1429 | 0.45 |
| 2016/17 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 7 | 584 | 22% | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 1326 | 1405 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Aalborg BK | Superliga | RB | 17 | 1512 | 51% | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 1296 | 1346 | 0.53 |
| 2015/16 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 9 | 810 | 30% | 2 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 1315 | 1324 | 0.57 |
| 2013/14 | Aalborg BK | Superliga | RB | 18 | 1246 | 42% | 2 | 4 | 0.43 | 0.22 | 1345 | 1463 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | Aalborg BK | Superliga | RB | 31 | 2722 | 92% | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 1336 | 1346 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 6 | 540 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 2 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 5 | 493 | 1 | 0 | 1387 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 125 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 663 | 0 | 0 | 1542 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 390 | 1 | 0 | 1553 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 600 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1532 |
| 2015/16 | Oddset Pokalen | Aalborg BK | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Oddset Pokalen | Aalborg BK | 3 | 195 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aalborg BK | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1382 |
| 2012/13 | Oddset Pokalen | Aalborg BK | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adil Auassar Eredivisie · 2023 | 37 | €125k | €125k | flat |
| Andriy Gitchenko Premier Liga · 2020 | 36 | €200k | €50k | fell |
| Mikhail Sivakov Premier Liga · 2023 | 35 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Konstantinos Fliskas Super League 1 · 2018 | 38 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Vitaliy Vernydub Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Vasco Fernandes Liga Portugal · 2023 | 37 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Kian Hansen Superliga · 2023 | 34 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Olivier Deschacht Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 39 | €100k | €100k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Aarhus GF | Retired | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Midtjylland | Aarhus GF | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Brentford | Midtjylland | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Zulte Waregem | Brentford | €1.1M | €1.3M |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Aalborg BK | Zulte Waregem | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2009 | Møldrup/Tostr. | Aalborg BK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.