Giannis Doiranlis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Doiranlis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (1024 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €317k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1024 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1272
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €196k – €598k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 19 pts; changed club; league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 42% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -47% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1024 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | CM | 18 | 1024 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1272 | 1104 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PAS Lamia 1964 | Super League 1 | CM | 24 | 1478 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1292 | 1053 | 0.35 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Lamia 1964 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Taiwo Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 24 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Angelos Tsingaras Super League 1 · 2022 | 23 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Ricky van Haaren Eredivisie · 2015 | 24 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Jeppe Illum Superliga · 2015 | 23 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Pedro Arce Super League 1 · 2017 | 26 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Hamdi Akujobi Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €550k | €300k | fell |
| Tim Chow Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 24 | €250k | €325k | rose |
| Ramiro Vaca Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 23 | €700k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2025 | PAS Lamia | Panserraikos | Free / loan | €350k |
| 2 Jul 2024 | Iraklis | PAS Lamia | Free / loan | €150k |
| 28 Jan 2022 | Pafos | Iraklis | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Akritas Chlor. | Pafos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 6 Sept 2021 | Pafos | Akritas Chlor. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Makedonikos | Pafos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Makedonikos U19 | Makedonikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.