Leonardo Bittencourt

The model rates Leonardo Bittencourt's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.77x the positional average in the league (610 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

610 (20% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.15

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.17

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

55 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.94 (rank 3)

Team strength (Elo)

1378

Opponent strength

1461

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€362k – €902k

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-104 Elo); relative output down 36% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -45% to -20%).

• ▲Small sample: 610 league minutes last season.
• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.