Marko Dmitrovic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marko Dmitrovic's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 80.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €487k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3330 (97% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1399
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €287k – €641k
Trajectory drivers: changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -60% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | GK | 37 | 3330 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1485 | 1399 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | CD Leganés | Laliga | GK | 32 | 2880 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1526 | 1396 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | GK | 13 | 1170 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1475 | 1475 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | GK | 15 | 1268 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1485 | 1583 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | GK | 6 | 540 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1492 | 1636 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | SD Eibar | Laliga | GK | 35 | 3121 | 91% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1557 | 1415 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | SD Eibar | Laliga | GK | 35 | 3150 | 92% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1548 | 1506 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | SD Eibar | Laliga | GK | 24 | 2160 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1541 | 1531 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | SD Eibar | Laliga | GK | 36 | 3240 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1554 | 1520 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 5 | 406 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1527 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 3 | 330 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | SD Eibar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Riemann Bundesliga · 2023 | 35 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Stefano Sorrentino Serie A · 2015 | 36 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Yuriy Zhevnov Premier Liga · 2015 | 34 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Alex Cordaz Serie A · 2017 | 34 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Stipe Pletikosa Premier Liga · 2015 | 36 | €750k | €500k | fell |
| Michael Rensing Bundesliga · 2019 | 35 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Kossi Agassa Ligue 1 · 2013 | 35 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Dudu Aouate Laliga · 2013 | 36 | €500k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | CD Leganés | Espanyol | Free / loan | €800k |
| 12 Aug 2024 | Sevilla FC | CD Leganés | Free / loan | €900k |
| 4 Jul 2021 | SD Eibar | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | AD Alcorcón | SD Eibar | €1.0M | €1.0M |
| 7 Jul 2016 | Charlton | AD Alcorcón | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | AD Alcorcón | Charlton | Free / loan | €800k |
| 27 Jul 2015 | Charlton | AD Alcorcón | Free / loan | €300k |
| 6 Jan 2015 | Újpest FC | Charlton | Free / loan | €300k |
| 2 Sept 2013 | Without Club | Újpest FC | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Feb 2013 | Red Star | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Red Star U19 | Red Star | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Red Star U17 | Red Star U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Red Star U15 | Red Star U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.