Neville Ogidi Nwankwo

24 yrs · Centre-back · Netherlands
SC Telstar · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€800k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€383k – €1.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€339k – €689k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€523k – €1.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.1M – €307k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€383k – €1.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€339k – €689k
Projected value (24 months)€523k – €1.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Neville Ogidi Nwankwo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 92

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average9.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €510k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationNeutral+7% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €800k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2162 (71% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
10 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1216
Opponent strength
1312
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€523k – €1.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +22% (IQR -15% to +64%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SC TelstarEredivisieCB28216271%010.040.06131212150.43

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerSC Telstar540200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Cameron Humphreys
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
24€700k€1.5Mrose
Kyriakos Kivrakidis
Super League 1 · 2017
25€700k€700kflat
Zarko Tomasevic
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
24€1.0M€1.5Mrose
Mehmet Yeşil
Super Lig · 2023
25€1.0M€750kfell
Teenage Hadebe
Super Lig · 2020
25€675k€1.5Mrose
Manolis Tzanakakis
Super League 1 · 2015
23€500k€300kfell
Nicholas Mickelson
Superliga · 2022
23€450k€400kflat
Georgios Saramantas
Super League 1 · 2016
24€400k€600krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026TelstarUtrechtFree / loan€800k
4 Jul 2025UtrechtTelstarFree / loanData unavailable
3 Jul 2025Quick BoysUtrecht€150kData unavailable
30 Jun 2024FC RijnvogelsQuick BoysFree / loanData unavailable
2 Jul 2023Quick BoysFC RijnvogelsFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2023FC RijnvogelsQuick BoysFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2022Westlandia U21FC RijnvogelsFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2021Westlandia U19Westlandia U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020DHC Yth.Westlandia U19Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.