Jeppe Grønning
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jeppe Grønning's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (1876 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 23.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €48k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1876 (95% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1286
- Opponent strength
- 1268
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €80k – €101k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; team strength up (+64 Elo); league level up (+45 Elo); relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -39% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Viborg FF | Superliga | DM | 22 | 1876 | 95% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1268 | 1286 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Viborg FF | Superliga | DM | 19 | 1532 | 77% | 3 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 1330 | 1222 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Viborg FF | Superliga | DM | 17 | 1331 | 67% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 1300 | 1261 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Viborg FF | Superliga | DM | 21 | 1868 | 94% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1289 | 1327 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | Viborg FF | Superliga | DM | 18 | 1464 | 74% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 1295 | 1234 | 0.45 |
| 2016/17 | Viborg FF | Superliga | CM | 25 | 2098 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1322 | 1221 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | Viborg FF | Superliga | DM | 28 | 2069 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1321 | 1251 | 0.53 |
| 2013/14 | Viborg FF | Superliga | DM | 5 | 120 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1358 | 1236 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 6 | 440 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 3 | 223 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 2 | 148 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Viborg FF | 5 | 435 | 0 | 0 | 1393 |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 3 | 257 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Geudens Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 35 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Vadym Milko Premier Liga · 2020 | 34 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Rasmus Würtz Superliga · 2017 | 34 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Luíz Carlos Liga Portugal · 2021 | 36 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Marvin Bartley Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 35 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Braga Liga Portugal · 2017 | 34 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Marcel Rømer Superliga · 2024 | 33 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Stéphane Sessègnon Super Lig · 2020 | 36 | €300k | €225k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2014 | Hobro IK | Viborg FF | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Jan 2014 | Viborg FF | Hobro IK | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FC Fyn | Viborg FF | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jan 2009 | FC Fyn U19 | FC Fyn | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.