
Zeki Yavru
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Zeki Yavru's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 47.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €101k vs market €200k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2017 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1310
- Opponent strength
- 1263
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €43k – €201k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; relative output down 51% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -55% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | RB | 28 | 2017 | 66% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1263 | 1310 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | RB | 35 | 2895 | 89% | 2 | 8 | 0.31 | 0.21 | 1281 | 1286 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | RB | 28 | 2027 | 59% | 1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 1309 | 1217 | 0.45 |
| 2021/22 | Giresunspor | Super Lig | RB | 31 | 2598 | 76% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1266 | 1215 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Yeni Malatyaspor | Super Lig | RM | 32 | 2007 | 56% | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 1275 | 1190 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Denizlispor | Super Lig | RB | 29 | 2263 | 74% | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 1344 | 1177 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Akhisarspor | Super Lig | RB | 12 | 1055 | 34% | 2 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 1371 | 1221 | 0.58 |
| 2018/19 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1358 | 1459 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Gençlerbirliği Spor Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 21 | 1671 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1365 | 1308 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 17 | 1257 | 41% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1367 | 1382 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | RB | 30 | 2667 | 87% | 3 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 1415 | 1279 | 0.64 |
| 2014/15 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 10 | 629 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 1396 | 1462 | 0.72 |
| 2013/14 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | CM | 17 | 1101 | 36% | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1441 | 1471 | 0.78 |
| 2012/13 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 7 | 545 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1432 | 1466 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Samsunspor | 2 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 1397 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1419 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 4 | 187 | 0 | 0 | 1471 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1400 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 6 | 540 | 0 | 1 | 1359 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 2 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1702 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fedor Kudryashov Super Lig · 2022 | 35 | €450k | €100k | fell |
| Frazer Wright Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 35 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Kirk Broadfoot Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 35 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Andriy Mostovyi Premier Liga · 2021 | 33 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Niels Lodberg Superliga · 2015 | 35 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Patrick Mtiliga Superliga · 2015 | 34 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Kian Hansen Superliga · 2021 | 32 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Mads Agesen Superliga · 2018 | 35 | €200k | €200k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Samsunspor | Without Club | Unknown | €200k |
| 3 Aug 2022 | Giresunspor | Samsunspor | Free / loan | €650k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Y. Malatyaspor | Giresunspor | Free / loan | €775k |
| 7 Sept 2020 | Denizlispor | Y. Malatyaspor | Free / loan | €325k |
| 24 Jul 2019 | Akhisarspor | Denizlispor | Free / loan | €400k |
| 15 Jan 2019 | Trabzonspor | Akhisarspor | Free / loan | €350k |
| 20 Aug 2018 | Genclerbirligi | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €650k |
| 10 Jul 2017 | Trabzonspor | Genclerbirligi | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Kayserispor | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 12 Aug 2015 | Trabzonspor | Kayserispor | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2012 | 1461 Trabzon | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Aug 2011 | Trabzonspor | 1461 Trabzon | Free / loan | €50k |
| 26 Jan 2011 | 1461 Trabzon | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €50k |
| 29 Jan 2010 | Trabzonspor U21 | Trabzon Kdz. | Free / loan | €50k |
| 12 Sept 2007 | Trbzn Tlkm Yth | Trabzonspor U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.