Zeki Yavru

35 yrs · Right-back (also CM, RM) · Türkiye
Samsunspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€200k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€36k – €247k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€256k – €494k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€43k – €201k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€9k – €458k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€36k – €247k
Model value (performance-implied)€256k – €494k
Projected value (24 months)€43k – €201k
Dashed line: current market value (€200k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Zeki Yavru's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage47.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €101k vs market €200k
Expected appreciationLow-22% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2017 (66% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
47 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1310
Opponent strength
1263
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€43k – €201k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; relative output down 51% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -55% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SamsunsporSuper LigRB28201766%020.090.10126313100.40
2024/25SamsunsporSuper LigRB35289589%280.310.21128112860.39
2023/24SamsunsporSuper LigRB28202759%140.220.25130912170.45
2021/22GiresunsporSuper LigRB31259876%020.070.10126612150.42
2020/21Yeni MalatyasporSuper LigRM32200756%210.130.18127511900.37
2019/20DenizlisporSuper LigRB29226374%040.160.17134411770.45
2018/19AkhisarsporSuper LigRB12105534%200.170.19137112210.58
2018/19TrabzonsporSuper LigRB1903%000.000.10135814590.58
2017/18Gençlerbirliği Spor KulübüSuper LigCM21167155%000.000.09136513080.68
2016/17TrabzonsporSuper LigRB17125741%010.070.10136713820.62
2015/16KayserisporSuper LigRB30266787%310.130.18141512790.64
2014/15TrabzonsporSuper LigRB1062921%010.140.09139614620.72
2013/14TrabzonsporSuper LigCM17110136%120.250.24144114710.78
2012/13TrabzonsporSuper LigRB754518%000.000.07143214660.89

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingSamsunspor2168001397
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor19001419
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueTrabzonspor4187001471
2014/15Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor190001400
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor6540011359
2013/14Uefa Europa LeagueTrabzonspor262001702

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Fedor Kudryashov
Super Lig · 2022
35€450k€100kfell
Frazer Wright
Scottish Premiership · 2014
35€300k€250kflat
Kirk Broadfoot
Scottish Premiership · 2019
35€300k€150kfell
Andriy Mostovyi
Premier Liga · 2021
33€300k€100kfell
Niels Lodberg
Superliga · 2015
35€300k€150kfell
Patrick Mtiliga
Superliga · 2015
34€300k€200kfell
Kian Hansen
Superliga · 2021
32€400k€400kflat
Mads Agesen
Superliga · 2018
35€200k€200kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026SamsunsporWithout ClubUnknown€200k
3 Aug 2022GiresunsporSamsunsporFree / loan€650k
1 Jul 2021Y. MalatyasporGiresunsporFree / loan€775k
7 Sept 2020DenizlisporY. MalatyasporFree / loan€325k
24 Jul 2019AkhisarsporDenizlisporFree / loan€400k
15 Jan 2019TrabzonsporAkhisarsporFree / loan€350k
20 Aug 2018GenclerbirligiTrabzonsporFree / loan€650k
10 Jul 2017TrabzonsporGenclerbirligiFree / loan€1.6M
30 Jun 2016KayserisporTrabzonsporFree / loan€2.0M
12 Aug 2015TrabzonsporKayserisporFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 20121461 TrabzonTrabzonsporFree / loan€350k
1 Aug 2011Trabzonspor1461 TrabzonFree / loan€50k
26 Jan 20111461 TrabzonTrabzonsporFree / loan€50k
29 Jan 2010Trabzonspor U21Trabzon Kdz.Free / loan€50k
12 Sept 2007Trbzn Tlkm YthTrabzonspor U21Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.