Portu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Portu's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (473 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 45.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €488k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -45% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 473 (14% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1413
- Opponent strength
- 1509
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €403k – €1.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -72% to -41%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 473 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Girona FC | Laliga | RW | 10 | 473 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1509 | 1413 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Girona FC | Laliga | RW | 27 | 767 | 22% | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.46 | 1522 | 1403 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Girona FC | Laliga | RW | 33 | 1176 | 34% | 7 | 5 | 0.92 | 0.68 | 1478 | 1621 | 1.00 |
| 2023/24 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RW | 3 | 95 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 1550 | 1415 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RW | 34 | 1760 | 51% | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.30 | 1512 | 1434 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | RW | 37 | 1584 | 46% | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 1511 | 1559 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | RW | 37 | 2189 | 64% | 8 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 1566 | 1573 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | RW | 35 | 2397 | 70% | 7 | 7 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 1540 | 1567 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Girona FC | Laliga | AM | 34 | 2833 | 83% | 9 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 1553 | 1428 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Girona FC | Laliga | AM | 37 | 3014 | 88% | 11 | 6 | 0.51 | 0.58 | 1557 | 1459 | 1.11 |
| 2013/14 | Valencia CF | Laliga | AM | 1 | 70 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1390 | 1609 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 1 | 59 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Girona FC | 5 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 1753 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 5 | 362 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 243 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 7 | 463 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 5 | 124 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 7 | 346 | 1 | 0 | 1596 |
| 2020/21 | Supercopa | Real Sociedad | 1 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 1781 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 6 | 251 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 3 | 125 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Valencia CF | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1528 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyego Sousa Laliga · 2023 | 34 | €800k | €50k | fell |
| Carlos Bacca Laliga · 2022 | 36 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Christian Gytkjaer Serie A · 2023 | 33 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Javier Camuñas Laliga · 2013 | 33 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Cacau Bundesliga · 2014 | 33 | €1.0M | €350k | fell |
| Andriy Voronin Bundesliga · 2013 | 34 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Rickie Lambert Premier League · 2016 | 34 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Roman Pavlyuchenko Premier Liga · 2015 | 34 | €1.3M | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2023 | Getafe | Girona | €1.5M | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Real Sociedad | Getafe | €3.5M | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Getafe | Real Sociedad | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Real Sociedad | Getafe | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Girona | Real Sociedad | €10.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Albacete | Girona | Free / loan | €700k |
| 5 Jul 2014 | Valencia B | Albacete | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Valencia U19 | Valencia B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Valencia CF You | Valencia U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Real Murcia You | Valencia CF You | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.