Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pedro Carvalho remove | Lewin Blum remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | GD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1305 | 1307 |
| League minutes | 1249 (41%) | 1129 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 17 | 10 |
| Market value | €800k | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €389k – €1.5M | €641k – €1.8M |
| Model value | €326k – €869k | €358k – €1.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €493k – €1.6M | €754k – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | 35/100 | 82/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€389k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€326k – €869k Projected value (24 months)€493k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€641k – €1.8M Model value (performance-implied)€358k – €1.0M Projected value (24 months)€754k – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pedro Carvalho and Lewin Blum
- On value for money the model prefers Blum (Bargain Index 82 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Carvalho High, Blum Moderate.