Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ayoub Oufkir remove | Jerolldino Bergraaf remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 19 |
| Position | Right winger | Striker |
| Club · league | Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1255 | 1183 |
| League minutes | 918 (30%) | 1046 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 6 | 1 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €300k |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.5M – €5.9M | €150k – €575k |
| Model value | €223k – €712k | €225k – €438k |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.7M – €8.0M | €248k – €759k |
| Bargain Index | 52/100 | 100/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 27% | 33% |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €5.9M Model value (performance-implied)€223k – €712k Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €8.0M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€150k – €575k Model value (performance-implied)€225k – €438k Projected value (24 months)€248k – €759k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ayoub Oufkir and Jerolldino Bergraaf
- Bergraaf is estimated to cost far less (€200k vs €3.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Bergraaf (Bargain Index 100 vs 52) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Oufkir Very High, Bergraaf High.