Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matheus Alves remove | Noé Lebreton remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 22 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | PFK CSKA Moskva · Premier Liga | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1436 | 1362 |
| League minutes | 1018 (38%) | 1432 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 39 | 28 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.2M – €11.7M | €2.2M – €6.6M |
| Model value | €662k – €3.8M | €574k – €1.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.3M – €15.7M | €2.0M – €9.9M |
| Bargain Index | 76/100 | 62/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 22% | 25% |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.2M – €11.7M Model value (performance-implied)€662k – €3.8M Projected value (24 months)€3.3M – €15.7M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €6.6M Model value (performance-implied)€574k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.0M – €9.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matheus Alves and Noé Lebreton
- Lebreton has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.41 vs 0.31 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Alves (Bargain Index 76 vs 62) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Alves Very High, Lebreton High.