Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Denys Marchenko remove | Viktor Dolgyi remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 19 | 22 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Obolon Kyiv · Premier Liga | FC Oleksandriya · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1070 | 1068 |
| League minutes | 930 (34%) | 1215 (45%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 1 | 2 |
| Market value | €600k | €400k |
| Estimated acquisition | €351k – €1.2M | €170k – €607k |
| Model value | €186k – €482k | €164k – €514k |
| Projected value (24m) | €320k – €1.8M | €225k – €654k |
| Bargain Index | 72/100 | 90/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 12% | 11% |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€351k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€186k – €482k Projected value (24 months)€320k – €1.8M Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€170k – €607k Model value (performance-implied)€164k – €514k Projected value (24 months)€225k – €654k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Denys Marchenko and Viktor Dolgyi
- Marchenko is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Dolgyi is estimated to cost far less (€226k vs €665k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Dolgyi (Bargain Index 90 vs 72) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Marchenko Very High, Dolgyi High.