Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Colby Donovan remove | Joe Mendes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 19 | 23 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership | Samsunspor · Super Lig |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1406 | 1310 |
| League minutes | 618 (21%) | 1215 (40%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 38 | 18 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.3M – €6.0M | €930k – €2.9M |
| Model value | €501k – €1.5M | €377k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.1M – €6.6M | €1.2M – €3.7M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 53/100 |
| Development | Very High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 41% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €6.0M Model value (performance-implied)€501k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €6.6M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€930k – €2.9M Model value (performance-implied)€377k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Colby Donovan and Joe Mendes
- Donovan is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Mendes was used far more by the club (40% of minutes vs 21%).
- Risk differs: Donovan Very High, Mendes Moderate.