Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marcus Fraser remove | Keelan Adams remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | St. Mirren FC · Scottish Premiership | Falkirk FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1102 | 1181 |
| League minutes | 2273 (77%) | 1859 (63%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 16 | 13 |
| Market value | €250k | €250k |
| Estimated acquisition | €63k – €197k | €58k – €245k |
| Model value | €234k – €375k | €290k – €664k |
| Projected value (24m) | €74k – €242k | €223k – €387k |
| Bargain Index | 79/100 | 100/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€63k – €197k Model value (performance-implied)€234k – €375k Projected value (24 months)€74k – €242k Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€58k – €245k Model value (performance-implied)€290k – €664k Projected value (24 months)€223k – €387k Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marcus Fraser and Keelan Adams
- Adams is 7 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Adams (Bargain Index 100 vs 79) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Fraser Very High, Adams High.