Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Dan Burn remove | Marc Oliver Kempf remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 31 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Newcastle United · Premier League | Como 1907 · Serie A |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1631 | 1589 |
| League minutes | 2199 (64%) | 2323 (68%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 99 | 85 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.5M – €4.1M | €1.2M – €3.0M |
| Model value | €3.4M – €6.9M | €3.3M – €10.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €957k – €2.7M | €1.3M – €2.7M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 65/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.1M Model value (performance-implied)€3.4M – €6.9M Projected value (24 months)€957k – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.0M Model value (performance-implied)€3.3M – €10.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Dan Burn and Marc Oliver Kempf
- Kempf is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Burn plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.93); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.