Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Matías Vecino removeBirger Verstraete remove
Age3432
PositionCentral midfielderDefensive midfielder
Club · leagueSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie AOud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League
League strength0.930.65
Team strength (Elo)15181329
League minutes733 (21%)1498 (56%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.250.00
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.190.05
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile7242
Market value€1.0M€900k
Estimated acquisition€265k – €857k€253k – €758k
Model value€607k – €3.2M€528k – €2.3M
Projected value (24m)€417k – €990k€268k – €655k
Bargain IndexNo index23/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskVery HighVery High
Data confidenceLowMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€265k – €857k
Model value (performance-implied)€607k – €3.2M
Projected value (24 months)€417k – €990k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€253k – €758k
Model value (performance-implied)€528k – €2.3M
Projected value (24 months)€268k – €655k
Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Matías Vecino and Birger Verstraete

  • Verstraete is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
  • Vecino plays in a stronger league (0.93 vs 0.65); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
  • Vecino has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.19 vs 0.05 per 90).
  • Verstraete was used far more by the club (56% of minutes vs 21%).