Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Denis Suárez remove | Pieter Gerkens remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Deportivo Alavés · Laliga | Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1410 | 1325 |
| League minutes | 1407 (41%) | 2397 (89%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 79 | 45 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €276k – €821k | €192k – €683k |
| Model value | €1.6M – €3.1M | €707k – €1.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €384k – €986k | €259k – €533k |
| Bargain Index | 91/100 | 43/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€276k – €821k Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €3.1M Projected value (24 months)€384k – €986k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€192k – €683k Model value (performance-implied)€707k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€259k – €533k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Denis Suárez and Pieter Gerkens
- Suárez plays in a stronger league (0.95 vs 0.65); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Suárez has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.42 vs 0.25 per 90).
- Gerkens was used far more by the club (89% of minutes vs 41%).
- On value for money the model prefers Suárez (Bargain Index 91 vs 43) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Suárez High, Gerkens Moderate.