Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Takumi Minamino removeFederico Bernardeschi remove
Age3132
PositionLeft wingerRight winger
Club · leagueAS Monaco · Ligue 1Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A
League strength0.880.93
Team strength (Elo)15271523
League minutes950 (31%)1208 (35%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.470.45
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.380.41
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile8070
Market value€10.0M€3.5M
Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €7.7M€1.1M – €3.0M
Model value€3.0M – €6.5M€1.2M – €7.0M
Projected value (24m)€2.1M – €5.2M€915k – €2.5M
Bargain Index6/10024/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskHighHigh
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €7.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.0M – €6.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €5.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €7.0M
Projected value (24 months)€915k – €2.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Takumi Minamino and Federico Bernardeschi

  • Bernardeschi is estimated to cost far less (€1.5M vs €3.6M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Bernardeschi (Bargain Index 24 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.