Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Amar Rahmanovic remove | Gedeon Guzina remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 32 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga | FC Orenburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1262 | 1218 |
| League minutes | 1560 (58%) | 1126 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 15 | 11 |
| Market value | €750k | €350k |
| Estimated acquisition | €199k – €623k | €92k – €262k |
| Model value | €381k – €619k | €252k – €471k |
| Projected value (24m) | €255k – €556k | €129k – €327k |
| Bargain Index | 37/100 | 82/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€199k – €623k Model value (performance-implied)€381k – €619k Projected value (24 months)€255k – €556k Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€92k – €262k Model value (performance-implied)€252k – €471k Projected value (24 months)€129k – €327k Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Amar Rahmanovic and Gedeon Guzina
- Rahmanovic was used far more by the club (58% of minutes vs 42%).
- Guzina is estimated to cost far less (€123k vs €265k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Guzina (Bargain Index 82 vs 37) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.