Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Harry Maguire remove | Victor Lindelöf remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 31 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Manchester United · Premier League | Aston Villa · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1715 | 1721 |
| League minutes | 1655 (48%) | 944 (28%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 97 | 91 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.1M – €7.7M | €1.9M – €4.7M |
| Model value | €4.6M – €10.2M | €4.6M – €13.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.2M – €4.4M | €1.7M – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 15/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.1M – €7.7M Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €10.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €4.4M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.7M Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €13.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Harry Maguire and Victor Lindelöf
- Maguire was used far more by the club (48% of minutes vs 28%).
- Lindelöf is estimated to cost far less (€2.5M vs €4.1M mid-estimate).