Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| James Ward-Prowse remove | Josh Cullen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 30 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Burnley FC · Premier League | Burnley FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1410 | 1343 |
| League minutes | 1097 (32%) | 1520 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.24 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 85 | 72 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.2M – €3.9M | €945k – €3.1M |
| Model value | €4.1M – €5.7M | €2.4M – €8.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.4M – €3.1M | €1.2M – €2.7M |
| Bargain Index | 10/100 | 36/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.9M Model value (performance-implied)€4.1M – €5.7M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€945k – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €8.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates James Ward-Prowse and Josh Cullen
- On value for money the model prefers Cullen (Bargain Index 36 vs 10) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ward-Prowse High, Cullen Moderate.