Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Julian Brandt remove | Lorenzo Pellegrini remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 30 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1656 | 1638 |
| League minutes | 1608 (53%) | 1476 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.62 | 0.37 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 95 | 89 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.2M – €16.9M | €2.7M – €9.1M |
| Model value | €12.7M – €57.0M | €9.3M – €18.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.1M – €9.4M | €2.6M – €6.0M |
| Bargain Index | 9/100 | 23/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.2M – €16.9M Model value (performance-implied)€12.7M – €57.0M Projected value (24 months)€4.1M – €9.4M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €9.1M Model value (performance-implied)€9.3M – €18.9M Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €6.0M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Julian Brandt and Lorenzo Pellegrini
- Pellegrini is estimated to cost far less (€5.1M vs €9.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pellegrini (Bargain Index 23 vs 9) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.