Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Sheraldo Becker remove | Caleb Ekuban remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | 1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | Genoa CFC · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1477 | 1407 |
| League minutes | 1104 (32%) | 975 (28%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 66 | 52 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €433k – €2.0M | €340k – €1.6M |
| Model value | €1.9M – €4.3M | €679k – €2.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €487k – €1.3M | €333k – €1.1M |
| Bargain Index | 36/100 | 5/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€433k – €2.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €4.3M Projected value (24 months)€487k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€340k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€679k – €2.8M Projected value (24 months)€333k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Sheraldo Becker and Caleb Ekuban
- Ekuban has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.61 vs 0.50 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Becker (Bargain Index 36 vs 5) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Becker Moderate, Ekuban High.