Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Luca Waldschmidt remove | Michael Gregoritsch remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 32 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | 1.FC Köln · Bundesliga | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1347 | 1397 |
| League minutes | 666 (22%) | 1287 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 1.22 | 0.84 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 52 | 62 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €615k – €1.9M | €506k – €1.4M |
| Model value | €979k – €3.7M | €1.2M – €3.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €650k – €2.0M | €418k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 55/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€615k – €1.9M Model value (performance-implied)€979k – €3.7M Projected value (24 months)€650k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€506k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.6M Projected value (24 months)€418k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Luca Waldschmidt and Michael Gregoritsch
- Waldschmidt is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Waldschmidt has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.84 vs 0.67 per 90).
- Gregoritsch was used far more by the club (42% of minutes vs 22%).