Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jamie Vardy remove | Michael Gregoritsch remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 39 | 32 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | US Cremonese · Serie A | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1299 | 1397 |
| League minutes | 2108 (62%) | 1287 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.43 | 0.84 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 81 | 62 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €295k – €1.4M | €506k – €1.4M |
| Model value | €613k – €2.8M | €1.2M – €3.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €342k – €1.0M | €418k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 55/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€295k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€613k – €2.8M Projected value (24 months)€342k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€506k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.6M Projected value (24 months)€418k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jamie Vardy and Michael Gregoritsch
- Gregoritsch is 7 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Vardy was used far more by the club (62% of minutes vs 42%).
- Risk differs: Vardy Moderate, Gregoritsch High.