Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Will Hughes remove | Óscar Valentín remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Crystal Palace · Premier League | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1589 | 1518 |
| League minutes | 1568 (46%) | 2115 (62%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 93 | 78 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.2M – €4.0M | €522k – €1.6M |
| Model value | €9.6M – €21.0M | €1.6M – €5.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €3.3M | €527k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 13/100 | 61/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €4.0M Model value (performance-implied)€9.6M – €21.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€522k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €5.5M Projected value (24 months)€527k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Will Hughes and Óscar Valentín
- Hughes plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.95); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Valentín was used far more by the club (62% of minutes vs 46%).
- Valentín is estimated to cost far less (€696k vs €1.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Valentín (Bargain Index 61 vs 13) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Hughes High, Valentín Moderate.