Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ali Abdi remove | Marnon Busch remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Position | Left-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | OGC Nice · Ligue 1 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1358 | 1323 |
| League minutes | 1165 (38%) | 1913 (63%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 50 | 53 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €491k – €1.5M | €241k – €766k |
| Model value | €430k – €1.7M | €640k – €2.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €381k – €1.2M | €331k – €922k |
| Bargain Index | 10/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€491k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€430k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€381k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€241k – €766k Model value (performance-implied)€640k – €2.3M Projected value (24 months)€331k – €922k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ali Abdi and Marnon Busch
- Busch was used far more by the club (63% of minutes vs 38%).
- Busch is estimated to cost far less (€322k vs €654k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Busch (Bargain Index 68 vs 10) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Abdi Very High, Busch Moderate.