Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lucas Olaza remove | Joris Kayembe remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga | KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1536 | 1471 |
| League minutes | 2368 (88%) | 1654 (61%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 76 | 66 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €926k – €2.6M | €529k – €1.4M |
| Model value | €2.4M – €7.5M | €1.4M – €3.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €980k – €2.1M | €366k – €1.1M |
| Bargain Index | 25/100 | 10/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€926k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €7.5M Projected value (24 months)€980k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€529k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €3.3M Projected value (24 months)€366k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lucas Olaza and Joris Kayembe
- Olaza was used far more by the club (88% of minutes vs 61%).
- Kayembe is estimated to cost far less (€705k vs €1.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Olaza (Bargain Index 25 vs 10) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.