
Joris Kayembe
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joris Kayembe's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 10
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €705k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -67% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1654 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 66 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1471
- Opponent strength
- 1375
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €366k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; team strength down (-64 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -69% (IQR -77% to -63%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1654 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 20 | 1654 | 61% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1375 | 1471 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 29 | 2446 | 91% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1372 | 1535 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 17 | 1269 | 47% | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 1363 | 1459 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 30 | 2375 | 78% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 1322 | 1348 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 34 | 2948 | 96% | 1 | 6 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 1347 | 1331 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 34 | 3013 | 98% | 1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1344 | 1319 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 8 | 323 | 12% | 0 | 2 | 0.56 | 0.23 | 1454 | 1478 | 0.63 |
| 2017/18 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | LB | 3 | 87 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1490 | 1413 | 0.85 |
| 2015/16 | Rio Ave FC | Liga Portugal | LW | 26 | 1136 | 37% | 2 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 1380 | 1343 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | FC Arouca | Liga Portugal | LW | 15 | 1101 | 36% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.32 | 1395 | 1255 | 0.68 |
| 2013/14 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | LB | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1280 | 1603 | 0.74 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 9 | 681 | 0 | 0 | 1482 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | KRC Genk | 8 | 453 | 0 | 0 | 1347 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 4 | 249 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1429 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 1451 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 1405 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 1465 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 2 | 203 | 0 | 0 | 1497 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Neustädter Super Lig · 2019 | 31 | €1.7M | €800k | fell |
| Maciej Wilusz Premier Liga · 2019 | 31 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Marcelo Goiano Liga Portugal · 2019 | 32 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
| Ibrahim Öztürk Super Lig · 2014 | 33 | €1.7M | €400k | fell |
| Gaël Clichy Super Lig · 2019 | 34 | €2.0M | €200k | fell |
| Ugur Demirok Super Lig · 2018 | 30 | €1.0M | €325k | fell |
| Antunes Premier Liga · 2017 | 30 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Dmitriy Stotskiy Premier Liga · 2019 | 30 | €3.5M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | R Charleroi SC | Genk | Unknown | €2.5M |
| 17 Jan 2020 | FC Nantes | R Charleroi SC | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FC Porto B | FC Nantes | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Rio Ave | FC Porto B | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Jul 2015 | FC Porto B | Rio Ave | Free / loan | €1.1M |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Arouca | FC Porto B | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 22 Jan 2015 | FC Porto B | Arouca | Free / loan | €500k |
| 2 Sept 2013 | Standard U21 | FC Porto B | €2.6M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Standard U19 | Standard U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Standard U17 | Standard U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.