Joris Kayembe

32 yrs · Left-back (also LM, LW) · DR Congo
KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: left · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€529k – €1.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.4M – €3.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€366k – €1.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€27k – €2.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€529k – €1.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €3.3M
Projected value (24 months)€366k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Joris Kayembe's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 10

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average65.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €705k vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-67% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1654 (61% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.05
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
66 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1471
Opponent strength
1375
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€366k – €1.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; team strength down (-64 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -69% (IQR -77% to -63%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1654 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
76 (DEF)
Relative output kept
67%–160%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueLB20165461%010.050.06137514710.65
2024/25KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueLB29244691%110.070.07137215350.63
2023/24KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueLB17126947%120.210.14136314590.63
2022/23Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueLM30237578%110.080.14132213480.58
2021/22Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueLM34294896%160.210.21134713310.49
2020/21Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueLB34301398%140.150.11134413190.55
2019/20Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueLB832312%020.560.23145414780.63
2017/18FC NantesLigue 1LB3873%000.000.15149014130.85
2015/16Rio Ave FCLiga PortugalLW26113637%230.400.42138013430.58
2014/15FC AroucaLiga PortugalLW15110136%100.080.32139512550.68
2013/14FC PortoLiga PortugalLB1452%000.000.06128016030.74

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk9681001482
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsKRC Genk8453001347
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsDemocratic Republic of the Congo424900—
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk2102001429
2025/26World CupDemocratic Republic of the Congo34100—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk2160001451
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingKRC Genk2158001405
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk2136001465
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingRoyal Charleroi Sporting Club2203001497

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Roman Neustädter
Super Lig · 2019
31€1.7M€800kfell
Maciej Wilusz
Premier Liga · 2019
31€1.0M€300kfell
Marcelo Goiano
Liga Portugal · 2019
32€2.0M€400kfell
Ibrahim Öztürk
Super Lig · 2014
33€1.7M€400kfell
Gaël Clichy
Super Lig · 2019
34€2.0M€200kfell
Ugur Demirok
Super Lig · 2018
30€1.0M€325kfell
Antunes
Premier Liga · 2017
30€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Dmitriy Stotskiy
Premier Liga · 2019
30€3.5M€1.2Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023R Charleroi SCGenkUnknown€2.5M
17 Jan 2020FC NantesR Charleroi SCUnknown€500k
1 Jul 2017FC Porto BFC NantesUnknown€1.0M
30 Jun 2016Rio AveFC Porto BFree / loan€1.5M
31 Jul 2015FC Porto BRio AveFree / loan€1.1M
30 Jun 2015AroucaFC Porto BFree / loan€1.0M
22 Jan 2015FC Porto BAroucaFree / loan€500k
2 Sept 2013Standard U21FC Porto B€2.6MData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Standard U19Standard U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Standard U17Standard U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.