Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Philipp Lienhart remove | Carl Starfelt remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | Celta de Vigo · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1551 | 1498 |
| League minutes | 1301 (43%) | 1492 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 84 | 78 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €4.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.9M – €11.9M | €1.4M – €3.7M |
| Model value | €4.3M – €8.6M | €2.5M – €6.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.7M – €6.5M | €1.1M – €2.7M |
| Bargain Index | 3/100 | 17/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.9M – €11.9M Model value (performance-implied)€4.3M – €8.6M Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €6.5M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€2.5M – €6.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Philipp Lienhart and Carl Starfelt
- Starfelt is estimated to cost far less (€1.9M vs €7.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Starfelt (Bargain Index 17 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Lienhart Moderate, Starfelt High.