Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ozan Tufan remove | Lukas Lerager remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Trabzonspor · Super Lig | FC Copenhagen · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1368 | 1359 |
| League minutes | 1430 (47%) | 1187 (60%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 45 | 49 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €349k – €1.1M | €235k – €864k |
| Model value | €472k – €1.5M | €388k – €1.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €317k – €1.0M | €256k – €528k |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 22/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€349k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€472k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€317k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€235k – €864k Model value (performance-implied)€388k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€256k – €528k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ozan Tufan and Lukas Lerager
- On value for money the model prefers Tufan (Bargain Index 50 vs 22) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Tufan Very High, Lerager High.