Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Adam Dzwigala remove | Wagane Faye remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 32 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga | RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1283 | 1297 |
| League minutes | 1295 (42%) | 1947 (72%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 44 | 28 |
| Market value | €800k | €400k |
| Estimated acquisition | €228k – €618k | €126k – €332k |
| Model value | €440k – €1.8M | €197k – €668k |
| Projected value (24m) | €319k – €765k | €122k – €356k |
| Bargain Index | 83/100 | 73/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€228k – €618k Model value (performance-implied)€440k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€319k – €765k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€126k – €332k Model value (performance-implied)€197k – €668k Projected value (24 months)€122k – €356k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Adam Dzwigala and Wagane Faye
- Dzwigala plays in a stronger league (0.94 vs 0.65); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Faye was used far more by the club (72% of minutes vs 42%).
- Faye is estimated to cost far less (€168k vs €304k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Dzwigala (Bargain Index 83 vs 73) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Dzwigala Moderate, Faye High.