Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Michel Aebischer remove | Niklas Dorsch remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1260 | 1323 |
| League minutes | 2900 (85%) | 2269 (74%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 65 | 59 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.6M – €4.1M | €852k – €2.6M |
| Model value | €1.6M – €4.6M | €2.1M – €6.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €3.1M | €947k – €2.4M |
| Bargain Index | 16/100 | 47/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €4.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€852k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€2.1M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€947k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Michel Aebischer and Niklas Dorsch
- Dorsch is estimated to cost far less (€1.7M vs €2.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Dorsch (Bargain Index 47 vs 16) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.