Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Josh Cullen remove | Josh Laurent remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Burnley FC · Premier League | Burnley FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1343 | 1343 |
| League minutes | 1520 (44%) | 1759 (51%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.24 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 72 | 72 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €945k – €3.1M | €354k – €1.4M |
| Model value | €2.4M – €8.2M | €1.8M – €4.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €2.7M | €457k – €1.3M |
| Bargain Index | 36/100 | 72/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€945k – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €8.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€354k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €4.1M Projected value (24 months)€457k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Josh Cullen and Josh Laurent
- Cullen has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.36 vs 0.18 per 90).
- Laurent is estimated to cost far less (€472k vs €1.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Laurent (Bargain Index 72 vs 36) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.