Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Christian Burgess remove | Lucas Olaza remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 31 |
| Position | Centre-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League | FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1570 | 1536 |
| League minutes | 2337 (87%) | 2368 (88%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 80 | 76 |
| Market value | €1.8M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €602k – €1.8M | €926k – €2.6M |
| Model value | €632k – €1.8M | €2.4M – €7.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €408k – €962k | €980k – €2.1M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 25/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€602k – €1.8M Model value (performance-implied)€632k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€408k – €962k Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€926k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €7.5M Projected value (24 months)€980k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Christian Burgess and Lucas Olaza
- Olaza is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Risk differs: Burgess Moderate, Olaza High.