Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Aarón Martín remove | Dimitrios Giannoulis remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Position | Left midfielder | Left midfielder |
| Club · league | Genoa CFC · Serie A | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1407 | 1421 |
| League minutes | 2161 (63%) | 1902 (62%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 77 | 73 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.4M – €3.9M | €1.1M – €3.0M |
| Model value | €4.2M – €9.6M | €3.1M – €4.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.5M – €3.8M | €942k – €2.2M |
| Bargain Index | 46/100 | 22/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.9M Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €9.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €3.8M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.0M Model value (performance-implied)€3.1M – €4.4M Projected value (24 months)€942k – €2.2M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Aarón Martín and Dimitrios Giannoulis
- On value for money the model prefers Martín (Bargain Index 46 vs 22) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Martín Moderate, Giannoulis Low.