
Dimitrios Giannoulis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitrios Giannoulis's performance-implied value at EUR 3.1M-4.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.59x the positional average in the league (1902 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 73.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -53% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1902 (62% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1421
- Opponent strength
- 1528
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €942k – €2.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts; relative output up 71% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -61% to -49%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | LM | 27 | 1902 | 62% | 2 | 5 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 1528 | 1421 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | LM | 31 | 2656 | 87% | 1 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 1494 | 1404 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Norwich City | Premier League | LB | 18 | 1166 | 34% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.21 | 1585 | 1275 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LB | 12 | 1017 | 43% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 1290 | 1428 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LB | 25 | 2229 | 95% | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1290 | 1512 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | LB | 15 | 1277 | 47% | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 1282 | 1361 | 0.43 |
| 2018/19 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LB | 8 | 401 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1225 | 1552 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | LB | 27 | 2412 | 89% | 0 | 8 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1268 | 1367 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | Veria NPS | Super League 1 | LB | 24 | 2152 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1307 | 1186 | 0.46 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 2 | 75 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Norwich City | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 360 | 1 | 2 | 1478 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 296 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 535 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1750 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 1 | 1 | 1388 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 4 | 241 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | APS Atromitos Athinon | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1332 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 309 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 154 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Veria NPS | 2 | 113 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugen Polanski Bundesliga · 2016 | 30 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Lucas Deaux Ligue 1 · 2018 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.4M | fell |
| Julian Schuster Bundesliga · 2014 | 29 | €3.0M | €700k | fell |
| Emil Hallfredsson Serie A · 2015 | 31 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Emmanuel Gyasi Serie A · 2024 | 30 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Jonas Martin Ligue 1 · 2019 | 29 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Sergi Darder Laliga · 2024 | 31 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Vladimír Darida Bundesliga · 2021 | 31 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2024 | Norwich | Augsburg | Free / loan | €2.8M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | PAOK | Norwich | €7.5M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Norwich | PAOK | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 19 Jan 2021 | PAOK | Norwich | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 21 Jan 2019 | Atromitos | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PAOK | Atromitos | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Anorthosis | PAOK | Free / loan | €300k |
| 20 Jan 2017 | PAOK | Anorthosis | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | PAE Veria | PAOK | Free / loan | €300k |
| 19 Jul 2015 | PAOK | PAE Veria | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Pierikos | PAOK | Free / loan | €200k |
| 7 Jul 2014 | PAOK | Pierikos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Vataniakos | PAOK | €20k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Vataniakos U19 | Vataniakos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.