Dimitrios Giannoulis

30 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Greece
FC Augsburg · Bundesliga · Foot: left · Height: 178 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.1M – €3.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.1M – €4.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€942k – €2.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€92k – €3.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.1M – €4.4M
Projected value (24 months)€942k – €2.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dimitrios Giannoulis's performance-implied value at EUR 3.1M-4.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.59x the positional average in the league (1902 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 22

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average73.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.8M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-53% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1902 (62% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.33
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.35
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
73 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1421
Opponent strength
1528
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€942k – €2.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts; relative output up 71% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -61% to -49%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC AugsburgBundesligaLM27190262%250.330.36152814210.94
2024/25FC AugsburgBundesligaLM31265687%140.170.20149414040.94
2021/22Norwich CityPremier LeagueLB18116634%010.080.21158512751.17
2020/21Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LB12101743%020.180.13129014280.39
2019/20Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LB25222995%030.120.09129015120.46
2018/19APS Atromitos AthinonSuper League 1LB15127747%030.210.17128213610.43
2018/19Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LB840115%000.000.06122515520.43
2017/18APS Atromitos AthinonSuper League 1LB27241289%080.300.25126813670.48
2015/16Veria NPSSuper League 1LB24215280%000.000.06130711860.46

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb PokalFC Augsburg27500—
2024/25Dfb PokalFC Augsburg327001—
2021/22Fa CupNorwich City213500—
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4360121478
2020/21Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4296001518
2019/20Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton653500—
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton2180011750
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton2180111388
2018/19Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton439000—
2018/19Kypello ElladasAPS Atromitos Athinon424102—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingAPS Atromitos Athinon2180001332
2017/18Kypello ElladasAPS Atromitos Athinon530901—
2016/17Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton215400—
2015/16Kypello ElladasVeria NPS211300—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Eugen Polanski
Bundesliga · 2016
30€3.5M€1.0Mfell
Lucas Deaux
Ligue 1 · 2018
30€2.5M€1.4Mfell
Julian Schuster
Bundesliga · 2014
29€3.0M€700kfell
Emil Hallfredsson
Serie A · 2015
31€3.2M€1.5Mfell
Emmanuel Gyasi
Serie A · 2024
30€1.8M€1.0Mfell
Jonas Martin
Ligue 1 · 2019
29€5.0M€2.5Mfell
Sergi Darder
Laliga · 2024
31€6.0M€3.0Mfell
Vladimír Darida
Bundesliga · 2021
31€3.5M€1.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2024NorwichAugsburgFree / loan€2.8M
1 Jul 2021PAOKNorwich€7.5M€7.0M
30 Jun 2021NorwichPAOKFree / loan€7.0M
19 Jan 2021PAOKNorwichFree / loan€6.0M
21 Jan 2019AtromitosPAOKFree / loan€1.3M
1 Jul 2017PAOKAtromitosFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2017AnorthosisPAOKFree / loan€300k
20 Jan 2017PAOKAnorthosisFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2016PAE VeriaPAOKFree / loan€300k
19 Jul 2015PAOKPAE VeriaFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2015PierikosPAOKFree / loan€200k
7 Jul 2014PAOKPierikosFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014VataniakosPAOK€20kData unavailable
1 Jan 2012Vataniakos U19VataniakosUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Dimitrios Giannoulis · MoneyballAI