Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Vanja Milinković-Savić remove | Dominik Greif remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | SSC Napoli · Serie A | Olympique Lyon · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1618 | 1554 |
| League minutes | 2430 (71%) | 2610 (85%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 89 | 82 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €9.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €12.6M – €23.1M | €4.2M – €10.7M |
| Model value | €8.1M – €34.9M | €4.2M – €10.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €6.6M – €15.4M | €3.4M – €9.2M |
| Bargain Index | 4/100 | 25/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€12.6M – €23.1M Model value (performance-implied)€8.1M – €34.9M Projected value (24 months)€6.6M – €15.4M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.2M – €10.7M Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €10.2M Projected value (24 months)€3.4M – €9.2M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Vanja Milinković-Savić and Dominik Greif
- Greif is estimated to cost far less (€7.9M vs €17.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Greif (Bargain Index 25 vs 4) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.