Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Wilmar Barrios remove | Orbelín Pineda remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 30 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1597 | 1512 |
| League minutes | 2557 (95%) | 1982 (85%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 84 | 73 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €7.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.7M – €4.8M | €1.7M – €5.9M |
| Model value | €2.3M – €6.3M | €1.5M – €6.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €2.9M | €1.8M – €4.7M |
| Bargain Index | 17/100 | 44/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €5.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €6.1M Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €4.7M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Wilmar Barrios and Orbelín Pineda
- Pineda is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Pineda has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.17 vs 0.03 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Pineda (Bargain Index 44 vs 17) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Barrios Very High, Pineda Moderate.