Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Calvin Verdonk remove | Thibault De Smet remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | LOSC Lille · Ligue 1 | Paris FC · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1489 | 1454 |
| League minutes | 1146 (38%) | 1148 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 55 | 48 |
| Market value | €2.5M | €1.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €860k – €2.4M | €531k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €863k – €3.2M | €806k – €2.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €904k – €2.1M | €673k – €1.9M |
| Bargain Index | 45/100 | 81/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€860k – €2.4M Model value (performance-implied)€863k – €3.2M Projected value (24 months)€904k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€531k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€806k – €2.3M Projected value (24 months)€673k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Calvin Verdonk and Thibault De Smet
- Smet is estimated to cost far less (€708k vs €1.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Smet (Bargain Index 81 vs 45) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Verdonk Moderate, Smet High.