Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Timothy Castagne remove | Clément Lenglet remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Position | Right-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Fulham FC · Premier League | Atlético de Madrid · Laliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1576 | 1619 |
| League minutes | 1842 (54%) | 1393 (41%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 90 | 94 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.1M – €6.2M | €1.3M – €3.3M |
| Model value | €6.2M – €12.5M | €6.8M – €23.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.4M – €4.3M | €1.3M – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | 18/100 | 39/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €6.2M Model value (performance-implied)€6.2M – €12.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €4.3M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.3M Model value (performance-implied)€6.8M – €23.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Timothy Castagne and Clément Lenglet
- Castagne plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.95); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Lenglet is estimated to cost far less (€1.8M vs €2.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Lenglet (Bargain Index 39 vs 18) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Castagne Moderate, Lenglet High.