Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Josan remove | Mario Engels remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 32 |
| Position | Right winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Elche CF · Laliga | Heracles Almelo · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1389 | 1060 |
| League minutes | 554 (16%) | 998 (33%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.49 | 0.27 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 41 | 10 |
| Market value | €100k | €300k |
| Estimated acquisition | €33k – €275k | €72k – €219k |
| Model value | €142k – €651k | €187k – €332k |
| Projected value (24m) | €89k – €101k | €118k – €273k |
| Bargain Index | No index | 85/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€33k – €275k Model value (performance-implied)€142k – €651k Projected value (24 months)€89k – €101k Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€72k – €219k Model value (performance-implied)€187k – €332k Projected value (24 months)€118k – €273k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Josan and Mario Engels
- Engels is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Josan plays in a stronger league (0.95 vs 0.43); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Engels was used far more by the club (33% of minutes vs 16%).
- Risk differs: Josan High, Engels Very High.