Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Luka Modrić remove | Wilmar Barrios remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 32 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | AC Milan · Serie A | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1570 | 1597 |
| League minutes | 2816 (82%) | 2557 (95%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 93 | 84 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.3M – €4.5M | €1.7M – €4.8M |
| Model value | €990k – €4.9M | €2.3M – €6.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.4M – €3.0M | €1.2M – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 17/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €4.5M Model value (performance-implied)€990k – €4.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.0M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Luka Modrić and Wilmar Barrios
- Barrios is 8 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Modrić plays in a stronger league (0.93 vs 0.56); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Modrić has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.13 vs 0.03 per 90).
- Risk differs: Modrić Moderate, Barrios Very High.